Category Archives: Weather/Climate

Rain, rain go away

Some parts of the Hill Country have had almost three inches of rain since midnight. Much of it is under a flood watch until 7 a.m. tomorrow. The National Weather Service says the usual tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is being augmented by high-level Pacific moisture from Hurricane Henriette. The radar images certainly show it: masses of green and occasional blobs of yellow moving northeast from out of the southwest–in other words, in the direction of where Henriette is poking around on Baja California. I just hope it doesn’t start Lake Travis rising again.

Red sky in morning….

…sailor take warning. Had a red sky this morning, which generally signifies a high moisture content in the atmosphere, so it’s a good thing I wasn’t planning to sail today, anyhow. We’ve had a fair amount of rain the past 24 hours, and judging from the projected track of minimal (Cat 1) Hurricane Henriette, now approaching Baja California, it looks like we’re going to be getting more by Wednesday. A moisture tap from Henriette on Monday helped bring us a few downpours.

Felix: Not quite a pussycat

But no longer the ferocious Lion it seemed to be just a few hours ago. The Seablogger explains why.

UPDATE: Felix returned to Lion status overnight, but remained compact, and went ashore this (Tuesday) morning in a sparsely populated area of Central America where mountains are expected to tear it apart. More from the Seablogger, who I would thank directly for his good work but leaving comments on his blog doesn’t work for me anymore, so I’ll do it here. Thanks, Alan. 

In Felix’s Eye

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 Cool photo of last night’s moon, rising over the eyewall, taken by NOAA Hurricane Hunters flying into the storm to measure it. There is now some discussion that, once Felix is in Campeche Bay, even as a minimal Cat 1, it might be sucked north by low pressure and hit the Texas coast. But the Houston Chronicle’s Eric Berger disagrees. Still worth keeping an eye on, so to speak.

Killer Felix

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So strong at Category 5, with sustained 165 mph winds and gusts to 200 mph, that a Hurricane Hunter plane sent to investigate it had to retreat. Now expected to hit poor Belize on Tuesday morning. Belize is still trying to forget Dean, i.e. "We’re tired,  many people are broke, and given the scope of the storm there seems no sure safe haven." First, it will brush northeastern Honduras which might slow it down to a Cat 4. By Thursday it could be into Campeche Bay as a greatly diminished Cat 1. No hit on Texas expected. Let’s hope it stays that way.

Centex is expected to get wet tomorrow, but not from Felix. Rather a result of tropical moisture surging in from the western Gulf and a moisture tap from Hurricane Henriette in the eastern Pacific. Both to be set off by a slow-moving closed low. A flood watch is expected.

Felix less of a threat to Texas

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 Subsequent model runs show threat to Texas diminishing. Whew.

Via Seablogger 

Model splits on Felix

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 The link to this Colorado State page in the previous post kept going bad, so I put up the graphic.