Tag Archives: Central Texas weather

Another tornado watch

This time until 1 a.m. Radar shows big line of super cells moving in from the west, but slow enough that they may not arrive shortly before midnight.LCRA meteorologist Bob Rose concludes:

"A Flash Flood watch has been posted for the Hill Country and Central Texas regions through Thursday morning. Rain amounts between now and midday Thursday should average between 1 and 2 inches, with isolated totals of 3 to 4 inches possible. Since the ground is still wet from recent rains, the potential for flash flooding is high."

Sleet & snow…

…by tomorrow night, thanks to a shift in the northern jet bringing arctic Canadian air in tomorrow morning through Monday colliding with a low pressure trough moving in from the west and drawing in moisture from the Pacific and the Gulf, says the LCRA’s Bob Rose:

"Long-term climate records indicate sleet and freezing temperatures this late into April are unprecedented in this part of Texas, so this weekend’s weather has the potential to be a record-setting event!"

Fortunately none of it is expected to stick as the ground is too warm, but the Panhandle could get an inch or more. We’ll be luckier, with just a wet, cold and windy Saturday with a wind chill in the 20s. Mom and Mr. B. will have fun decorating Easter eggs, and making cookies and chili. Sunday it’s supposed to warm up a little and more on Monday. We had planned a drive into the Hills Sunday to see the wildflowers, and we may do it yet.

Chilly nights

While folks in the Northeast labor under new inches of snow, winter gets a last gasp in Central Texas. Lots of Canadian air has settled in to keep our nights chilly through Sunday. KVUE’s Mark Murray, looking ahead, sees a 49 percent chance of a Texas coast hurricane this year. Early times.

Radar watching

Keeping up with the approaching storms listening to the bouncing of the ball Mr. B. is playing with in his room. The weather service’s Web radar is the best. Hope it keeps working. It sometimes picks storm events to crash. If it does I can watch them on KXAN and KVUE, though they are thirty minutes to an hour behind, to the weather service’s twelves minutes or so.

I saw the last batch on the service radar coming swiftly from the southeast, so when I went to the grocery I was probably the only person in that store not to be surprised when I came out and it was pouring. Soon stopped and I hardly got wet. But the western storms, some of which have already dropped almost 6 inches in the San Saba River, northwest of us, are moving much more slowly. Since they’re due to continue east through tomorrow night, it’s not hard to believe in river flooding. No rivers around the rancho, fortunately. The Guadalupe and Colorado well south of us are the likely candidates.

Rain chances diminishing

LCRA’s chief meteorologist Bob Rose says another mini- drought-breaker like we had about nine days ago isn’t in the cards, just more humidity and a light rain later this week followed by a bit more this weekend thanks to a Pacific cold front combined with a low pressure trough out of New Mexico:

"Rain amounts Saturday through Sunday will be a little heavier, generally in the range of 0.5 to 1 inch, with isolated heavier totals.  As of now, however, I’m not seeing the development of a heavy rain event.   High temperatures both days will be in the middle 70s"

At least we’re going to get nice spring weather the next couple of weeks, highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s. And with the perennials greening up and the antique roses budding out, it should be even nicer.

Not near as cold

Looks like the meteorologists whose interpretations last week of the computer forecast models showed a rash of bitter arctic air for Central Texas this weekend into next week are waffling:

"I think there will be a secondary reinforcing cold front through the area late in the day Sunday," emails Troy Kimmel. "This front will be colder than the one Friday night/Saturday morning. This will result in highs on Sunday around 50.. lows Sunday night falling into the upper 20s…"

He’ll have an update this afternoon, but so far he’s not foreseeing lows in the teens anymore.

UPDATE  Troy’s no longer concerned about possible unusual low temps, and that’s good.  

Arctic air or not?

Central Texas meteorologists, from the broadcasters to the National Weather Service, are having conniptions trying to figure out what’s going to happen this weekend into next week. Some say the coldest weather in many years, others aren’t sure:

"I’d like nothing more than to tell you that the [computer forecast] models have settled on a reasonable solution regarding the timing and/or intensity of this expected arctic air," writes meteorologist Troy Kimmel. "This, however, is not the case as the models continue to be quite divergent in their solutions which really doesn’t make us feel any more confident regarding exactly how this potential event will unfold."

So we’ll just have to wait a few more days for the computer models and their artful interpreters to decide what’s going to be what and where.