Tag Archives: Texas drought

How dry? La Nina dry.

La Nina, as expected, is burgeoning. For us that means dry, and we’re already dry, leaving behind the sixth driest February on record dating back to 1856:

”We’re seeing a shift to the La Nina, it’s clearly in the data,’ NOAA Administrator Conrad Lautenbacher said. La Nina, a cooling of the mid-Pacific equatorial region, has not officially begun because it’s a process with several months with specific temperature thresholds, but the trend is obvious based on satellite and ocean measurement data, he said. ‘It certainly won’t be welcome news for those living off the coast right now…’"

Hurricanes now become the most likely way for us to get wet. As dry as we are, we need one, but it’s a shame to think of how many people will get hurt in order for us to end this drought of ours.

More drought ahead

That’s the apparent forecast, according to KVUE chief meteorologist Mark Murray, and the latest data on the El Nino Southern Oscillation, which is oscillating in an unfortunate (for us) direction:

"These trends in surface and subsurface ocean temperatures indicate that the warm episode (El Niño) is weakening. It is still possible for some areas to experience El Niño-related effects during the next month, primarily in the region of the central tropical Pacific."

One supposes that the normal (i.e. non-El Nino) Central Texas spring could still bring us abundant rainfall by the end of May-June, but Mark didn’t seem too optimistic about it when we spoke last night. Lake Travis remains really low, and its manager, the Lower Colorado River Authority, recently took the unprecedented step of denying what remains of its water to Texas rice farmers down on the coast.