This sucker doesn’t compress well, but it shows something hopeful for Texas. Namely that the models like Hurricane Dean going into Mexico instead of the Texas coast. Crossing the Yucatan should slow it down a lot, and if it doesn’t get stalled when it comes out, it could be a minimal storm after that. Link via Fresh Bilge where Alan has more.
UPDATE LCRA’s Bob Rose doesn’t see Texas getting off easy at all, and notes that the Hurricane Center now sees Dean only clipping the northern Yucatan, which would hardly slow it down, and a low pressure area moving toward Texas could pull it farther north: "…Dean will be a large storm upon landfall and could threaten much of the Texas [coast?] with high winds and torrential rain even if it makes landfall along the lower coast."
MORE I do like this note of Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi: "Here is what the weather over the past has done… Through the Yucatan channel, most major storms hit the US. Through the Yucatan from east to west, they dont."
THE TEXAS SCRIBBLER 