But no longer the ferocious Lion it seemed to be just a few hours ago. The Seablogger explains why.
UPDATE: Felix returned to Lion status overnight, but remained compact, and went ashore this (Tuesday) morning in a sparsely populated area of Central America where mountains are expected to tear it apart. More from the Seablogger, who I would thank directly for his good work but leaving comments on his blog doesn’t work for me anymore, so I’ll do it here. Thanks, Alan.
Comments Off on Felix: Not quite a pussycat
Posted in Weather/Climate
Tagged Hurricane Felix, seablogger
Cool photo of last night’s moon, rising over the eyewall, taken by NOAA Hurricane Hunters flying into the storm to measure it. There is now some discussion that, once Felix is in Campeche Bay, even as a minimal Cat 1, it might be sucked north by low pressure and hit the Texas coast. But the Houston Chronicle’s Eric Berger disagrees. Still worth keeping an eye on, so to speak.
Comments Off on In Felix’s Eye
Posted in Weather/Climate
Tagged eyewall, Hurricane Felix, NOAA Hurricane Hunters
So strong at Category 5, with sustained 165 mph winds and gusts to 200 mph, that a Hurricane Hunter plane sent to investigate it had to retreat. Now expected to hit poor Belize on Tuesday morning. Belize is still trying to forget Dean, i.e. "We’re tired, many people are broke, and given the scope of the storm there seems no sure safe haven." First, it will brush northeastern Honduras which might slow it down to a Cat 4. By Thursday it could be into Campeche Bay as a greatly diminished Cat 1. No hit on Texas expected. Let’s hope it stays that way.
Centex is expected to get wet tomorrow, but not from Felix. Rather a result of tropical moisture surging in from the western Gulf and a moisture tap from Hurricane Henriette in the eastern Pacific. Both to be set off by a slow-moving closed low. A flood watch is expected.
Comments Off on Felix less of a threat to Texas
Posted in Weather/Climate
Tagged forecast models, Hurricane Felix, seablogger
The link to this Colorado State page in the previous post kept going bad, so I put up the graphic.
Comments Off on Model splits on Felix
Posted in Weather/Climate
Tagged forecast model split, Hurricane Felix
As it stands now, according to meteorologist Jeff Masters, Felix could grow to a dangerous Cat 2 or 3 by Monday night when, on its present course, it approaches the border between Honduras and Nicaragua. But the forecast models are split over its direction, with some taking it farther north into the northwestern Caribbean where, on Tuesday or Wednesday, a low pressure trough could lift it up into the Gulf of Mexico, just clipping the northeast corner of the Yucatan. If that happens, the Texas coast could be in for a beating. Wait and see.
Comments Off on Hurricane Felix Texas bound?
Posted in South of the Border, Weather/Climate
Tagged Colorado State University, forecast models, Hurricane Felix, Jess Masters
The Seablogger is still talking about a chance that Felix, now a TS and probably a H by nightfall, could get into the Gulf at full strength, by just clipping the northeast corner of the Yucatan. Hurricane center still has it going to Yucatan/Belize/Honduras area like Dean did. But if Alan is right, then where? Texas may be evacuating parts of its coastline yet. Definitely a storm to watch.
THE TEXAS SCRIBBLER 
