Tag Archives: LCRA meteorologist Bob Rose

Early winter, again


Winter has arrived, says meteorologist Bob Rose of the Lower Colorado River Authority. About a month early. Cold and raining this week, at least through Wednesday. Then highs only in the 50s. Even some snow forecast but not expected to be cold enough for it to stick. Nothing like the above sat photo of 2004’s record snowfall across South Texas. That dark spot on the upper left edge of the snow line is Lake Travis. I could do without a repeat early winter, the same thing that happened to us last year. But since global temps haven’t been warming for twelve years now (contrary to the delusional convictions of so-called climate "scientists" and other warm-mongering politicians) I suppose we have to expect it.

More rain

Nice, seasonally-normal event tonight and tomorrow. Some thunderstorms expected and amounts up to two inches in spots. Result of a low-pressure trough moving in from the west which is drawing in moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.

Hottest July On Record

That’s here, in Centex land, with a probable average high temp of at least 89.4 degrees for the month. Of course the record only goes back to the 1850s or so. The previous record was 89.1 in July, 1870.

Too bad the Indians didn’t have thermometers and keep records or we might know more. As it is, unless you’re a diehard global warmist, the record’s length is not very impressive. But the heat has been utterly oppressive, and the worst may be to come. August generally is the hottest and driest month around here.

And with no named tropical storm yet this hurricane season we can’t even count on that to cool us off.

Via LCRA meterologist Bob Rose.

Cats and dogs

Rain, rain, glorious rain. Boy did it pour this morning. For a good ten minutes, overwhelming the gutters as always, raising anew the question of why we have gutters at all. Water even ponded in the Back Forty. It kept our high temp for the day at no more than 88 degrees. Whoo-hoo.

Mrs. Charm said she had left the "rain magnets" out, meaning the cushions on the aluminum chairs on the patio, and that must be what did it. Uh, actually it was a weak cold front. But, whatever. We’ll take it–especially considering that some people missed it altogether.

Hello, rain

Got a brief shower at the rancho this morning, with the weather service saying there’s a fifty percent chance of more to come. More than two inches fell at Harper, northwest of Fredericksburg in the hills out west. Doubt we’d get that much. The LCRA’s Bob Rose says the cause is a couple of unusual cold fronts sliding south into Texas after a shift in the Jet Stream moved the dome of high pressure that’s made recent weeks so hot south to where’s now over northern Mexico.

Bob says this is on track to be the hottest summer on record, 87.2 degrees average temp vs. the previous hottest of 87.1 in 1998. But the city records he’s talking about only go back to the 1840s, so that’s nothing to get very excited about, all you global warmists. Rain chances are expected to end later today but a "cooling" trend, at least dropping temps into the nineties, could last a week to ten days. That would be nice.

Chance of rain

That would be nice, but, so far, the radar shows most of it well to our north. What a strange May, as even LCRA meterologist Bob Rose admits, with evidence:

"…according to Dr. John Nielson-Gammon, the Texas State Climatologist, for the Central Texas region as a whole, this May is on track to be the 7th driest on record, the 13th driest March through May period on record, and the 7th driest December through May period on record. So if you think the weather has been a little unusual lately, you’re right."

So, come on rain. We need you.

UPDATE:  Well, there’s hope in River City. The temperature at the rancho has dropped twenty degrees in the last twenty minutes. An hour or so later, we had a brief shower. Pleasant, anyhow.

Finally, a warmup

This has been the coldest fall I remember in Central Texas. I can remember Christmas eves and days in the 70s. Not this year. But, after a bitterly cold New Year’s Day, according to LCRA meteorologist Bob Rose, we could be in for a nice change:

"Most recent long-range data indicates the month of January will be unseasonably mild and generally dry," Bob reports in his latest forecast, for which there is, alas, no permalink.

Sounds wonderful. If I wanted to have a cold winter, after all, I would move where the winters are cold.