Bring it on

Spengler, at least, is ready and waiting for an Israeli bombing attack on Iran. He thinks regional war is inevitable and it might as well begin sooner than later in response to an Israeli attack.

Of course, he has the luxury of not sitting at ground zero. Or does he?

“An Israeli strike on Iran that achieved even limited success — a two-year delay in Iran’s nuclear weapons development — would arrest America’s precipitous decline as a superpower.”

I doubt the decline would continue if Obama is defeated in November. If he is re-elected, a two year delay wouldn’t be long enough. But regional war, Spengler (David P. Goldman) says, would resolve these looming problems:

  • A nuclear-armed Iran;
  • Iraq’s continued drift towards alliance with Iran;
  • An overtly hostile regime in Egypt, where the Muslim Brotherhood government will lean on jihadist elements to divert attention from the country’s economic collapse;
  • An Egyptian war with Libya for oil and with Sudan for water;
  • A radical Sunni regime controlling most of Syria, facing off an Iran-allied Alawistan ensconced in the coastal mountains;
  • A de facto or de jure Muslim Brotherhood takeover of the Kingdom of Jordan.
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    Rather daunting list there. Only problem I can see is that wars (and their results) are always unpredictable. The new arrangement could be worse.

    But neoconservatism, the moderate alternative between appeasement and war, certainly seems to be dead. Obama has tried appeasement and gotten a dead ambassador and trashed embassies. Being an ideologue, he may try more appeasement. But Spengler is right. War is inevitable.

    0 responses to “Bring it on

    1. Inevitable is right, the question is timing, of course. And location 😉

    2. If Israel is to have any support from us (in terms of spare parts and ammunition) they must attack before the election. After that a re-elected Obama will have no incentive to be supportive and may, in fact, be an obstacle.