Category Archives: Science/Engineering

Why SpaceX will succeed

Never mind the usual snooze media headlines about SpaceX botching, stumbling, or failing to softly land their Falcon 9 first stage last Saturday. What they did “astonishingly right,” as aerospace engineer Rand Simberg puts it, certainly justifies plenty of optimism for next time.

After stage separation about 90 km high, they relit three of the first stage’s nine engines to slow down from about 3,000 mph. After re-entry, three more engines were relit to aim it at the tiny (from so high up) drone ship with its bulls-eye landing platform and four small fins were deployed to help steer it. Slowed down sufficiently, a single engine relight was all that was needed for a soft landing.

“With the exception of the final landing itself, almost everything went according to plan,” Simberg writes. “The vehicle entered intact, flew to the ship, and (apparently literally) hit the deck, because the hydraulic fluid that controlled the fins ran short by 10% of that needed to control and softly land.

“But in so doing, it accomplished another major ‘first,’ not just for a private company, but for any space ship. Previous Falcon flights had demonstrated the ability to enter the stage intact by retrothrusting (as opposed to simply braking against the atmosphere), but this was the first time such a vehicle had not only survived entry, but flown precisely to a pre-designated location, without wings.”

Space X will try again Jan. 29. When they finally succeed, as they almost certainly will, the next step will be to figure out how much it will cost to quickly and reliably, reuse the stage to cut their about $61 million price of a Falcon 9 launch.

Unlike the snooze media, bureaucratic NASA must be green with envy.

Via PJMedia.

Nostalgic for napalm

I’m with JimCarr28, a commenter at Instapundit, who says Islamic State makes him nostalgic for napalm. Not to mention the Paris magazine attack and subsequent Jewish hostage-takings.

Because “people on fire tend to be too occupied to cause their neighbors much trouble.”

So much cheaper than multi-pound bombs, too, and oh, so much more effective on the target and its audience.

Indeed, why do we shelve our best weaponry, just when we really need it?

Falcon 9 now for Saturday

SpaceX’s Florida launch of a Falcon 9 for the space station has been rescheduled for Saturday before dawn at 4:47 a.m. Shortly thereafter the company will attempt to land the Falcon’s first stage on a barge in the Atlantic off Jacksonville.

The first stage of the Falcon 9 rocket is expected to land on the barge within 10 minutes of liftoff. The second stage will continue to propel the Dragon capsule to orbit” and a cargo-delivering rendezvous with the space station.

Pretty cool if they can do it. If they can’t they’re determined to try again until they do. Eventually making such landings routine to make the first stages reusable to cut costs launching to orbit.

UPDATE:  “Close but no cigar,” said Musk. He said the first stage found the barge on Saturday but landed too hard. The second stage with its cargo continued to the space station as planned.

Very funny send-up of global warming

Ian McEwan’s novel Solar is a very funny send-up of the global warming cult in particular and government-dependent scientific research in general. Many Amazon reviewers seem to want to distance themselves from the main character, opportunist-physicist Michael Beard who, as he himself says, has enjoyed a free ride ever since he won a Nobel prize.

He is a cad, certainly, but a very amiable and human one and most of his wives and lovers share his selfish weaknesses—even his mother whose deathbed confession of 17 affairs in five years wins his (and our) admiration.

If anyone is in need of sympathy, it’s his four-year-old daughter, the only innocent in the tale. But she shares his hearty approach to life and one suspects she will turn out all right, enriched by memory of her father, the Expanding Universe, as her mother calls him in his final 65-pounds-overweight incarnation. I enjoyed the author’s novels Atonement and Enduring Love. But neither prepared me for this hilarious hoot whose only real sadness is saved for the final page. Thank you, Mr. McEwan.

Falcon 9’s water landing today

Not a splashdown, after delivering cargo to the space station, but a powered,upright landing on a floating platform in the Atlantic. You know, like in the old science fiction novels.

At least that’s today’s plan.

And if it doesn’t work, SpaceX will keep trying until it does. Because Elon Musk’s vision requires a reusable rocket-to-orbit-and-return to make its ultimate goal practicable: Mars!

UPDATE:  At 6:10 a.m. EST, Musk tweeted: “Need to investigate the upper stage Z actuator. Was behaving strangely. Next launch attempt on Friday at 5am.”

Uncertainties

Mrs. Charm’s cancer treatments were going well until the other day when her latest scan found good news and bad. The good news: her lymphoma tumor load seems to have significantly decreased across the board just four doses into her eight-dose chemo regimen.

The bad: the scan showed there was a dark mass on her small intestine where it connects with the large one. It could be a hard tumor, possibly a sign of small intestine lymphoma which is not an unusual development in lymphoma cancers. Or, as her gastroenterologist said, because she has none of the expected symptoms of small intestine lymphoma, it could be a false reading and he could be chasing a ghost.

So this morning he made what Atul Gawande says in Complications, A Surgeon’s Notes on an Imperfect Science, is the hardest medical decision of all: to do nothing, not even a biopsy. Only to continue the chemo doses. And wait until the next scan six weeks from now, unless symptoms set in before then, to see if the mass is still there. And so there we are, still uncertain about what’s going on but still seeing progress and hoping for the best.

The Martian

Far and away the best self-published book I’ve read. The Martian by Andy Weir started out as a 99 cent indy ebook and didn’t get its current name brand publisher and hard- and softback editions until after it became an Amazon hit.

The story of an astronaut mistakenly left for dead on Mars and how he deals with it does a great job of puffing NASA, Weir obviously being a NASA fanboy. A private space consortium behind the protagonist would have been more logical than a bloated government bureaucracy. SpaceX or one of its progeny. But never mind.

I got a little tired of the technical stuff at several points but it seemed that whenever I did, the author took the narrative in a more interesting direction. Mercifully the story has almost no politics in it nor any of contemporary science fiction’s usual dystopian babble. It was also a pleasure to meet some unadulterated heroes in science fiction again. Hopefully that will become a trend.

It was amusing to see Weir pick CNN and NBC as NASA’s chief media conduits to the public. Perhaps he doesn’t know those two have been dead last in the audience ratings for more than a decade. No mention at all is made of Fox, which is number one, and whose audience is vastly larger than CNN’s or NBC’s combined.

Nevertheless, Weir’s story is an immensely enjoyable testament to the value of the individual. It’s optimistic about humanity in general and human space exploration in particular. Can we get back to it now, all these years after Apollo and the space shuttles endlessly going nowhere?