The first part of my headline is the title of an opinion piece by Karl Rove in the WSJ which seems to me to be absolutely correct. Obozo should have run away with the polls by now, if he was going to win, but he hasn’t and apparently can’t.
“Mr. Romney will be on strong ground defending free enterprise as a system that rewards initiative, hard work and sacrifice—and in doing so creates widespread prosperity that he will seek to extend to every corner of the nation…swing voters who’ll make up their minds late [will] decide the election.”
Trouble is, as the Chicago Boyz say, more and more Americans are dependent on the federal government for a check. Initiative, hard work and sacrifice are fast becoming minority practices. Welfare State Socialism is a fait accompli and growing stronger every day.
Thus: “Intrade.com has Obama at 60% odds to be reelected. Other bookmakers are in the same ballpark. It’s possible that these market odds are overly influenced by inaccurate polls. The odds certainly respond to polling data. However, the bookies have a very good record of predicting election results.”
And it gets worse. In the latest Fox News poll, Obozo has an 11-point lead among Independents who make up at least a third of the electorate. Add in the third who are loyal Democrats and we can just about kiss Mittens goodbye. If this sort of thing continues, the game is all but over.
“Cometh the hour, cometh the man. The hour is late, and the man needs to get in the game.” Sez the ever-acerbic conservative Mark Steyn.
UPDATE: And whether enough of these Independents will care about Mr. Ryan as a vice president remains to be seen. He’s certainly smarter than Joey Hairplugs.
MORE: Dueling polls bring some hope. A new one says Romney has Obozo on Independent voters by 10 points, the same (in this Politico-George Washington University poll) as in May. Obozo has youth by 23 points, despite the high unemployment he’s brought them; Romney has folks over 65 by 6 points. And it’s worth remembering that youth talks but often walks on vote day. Seniors never forget to vote.
AND: Not two weeks later, a Fox News poll has Romney ahead by one point, meaning within the margin of error. Meaning: even.
THE TEXAS SCRIBBLER 