Category Archives: Weather/Climate

Will Irene do an Ike?

Joe Bastardi, late of Accuweather, now forecasting for a start-up called Weather BELL, thinks (as of this afternoon) that Hurricane Irene is of the “genre” of Hurricane Ike which whacked Galveston in 2008. Same low central pressure calculation (950 mb), he says, and a tighter eye than Ike as Irene moves north “riding a path only seen a couple of times in  200 years.”

The picture above is of the Bolivar Peninsula near Galveston which Ike cleared of vacation homes and the people still in them who had refused to leave. So, while some forecasters are calling hype on Irene, Joe is betting parts of the Northeast Coast are going to look something like the above.

Hope not. But there it is. We shall see.

UPDATE:  She did not, in the sense that she did not produce Ike’s storm surge waves that cleared Bolivar. So far, inland flooding is her big story.

UPDATE: As of 9/29: At least ten billion dollars in damages and 40 deaths, so far. Epic flooding of rivers and streams from Irene’s drenching rains, from North Carolina north to Vermont.

People who refused evacuation are now surrounded by rising floodwaters. Albany, NY, as far inland as that is, is having 100-year flooding. Irene was not the wimp some are saying she was.

Rain!

Mrs. Charm’s photo, celebrating yesterday’s brief shower in near South Austin, something quite rare this year in any part of the city.

Pray for global warming

“If we fall into a Dalton, let alone a Maunder, we may again see those picturesque post cards of snow enshrouded Christmases.  So pray for global warming, friends.”

But before you assume the position (whichever one you favor), read it all.

Free-floating planets

This is a recurring nightmare of mine, though not so vivid that it was easy to figure out at first. Sounds awful. Icy, for sure, and dark. Yet, if the populace was far-enough advanced to have developed their own renewable heat sources, they might continue to thrive underground. Or so I imagine.

Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got

Somehow, in all my other distractions, I managed to miss Joe Bastardi’s February departure from Accuweather. Part of it was letting my Pro subscription lapse last summer when I had to get a new credit card and forgot to update my account. When they finally got around to asking for the update, I decided to let it go.

Bastardi was fun to read (and to listen to his brief video forecasts) but his focus wandered and I could have a hard time understanding him. I also got a little tired (despite agreeing with him) of his anti-AGW rants. But I always figured I could resume my sub if I got to missing him.

Then I got busy with the three (yes!) books I’m writing, and my spring trip to Israel. Only noticed the other day that old JB had gone missing because I always liked to hear his latest hurricane forecast and we’re coming up on the active part of that season right now.

Well, turns out he’s the new chief meteor of a start-up called Weatherbell, frequently appears on Fox, does guest shots on WUWT, and still Tweets (though how he can compress his natural verbosity into a Tweet is beyond me). My only question is does he still end his forecasts with the famous (and funny) line that’s the title of this post? Or does Accuweather claim to own it? I may have to subscribe to his new gig to find out.

One inch of cooling rain

Nice thunderstorm last night left more than an inch of rain at the Rancho and cut the triple-digit trend. Almost three inches out at Lago Vista on Lake Travis.

Awoke to a surprising 72 degrees this morning. It’s in the low 90s this afternoon and forecast to stay there through Friday before the heat returns. Not enough rain to break the drought, certainly, but a good start.

Pool Fools, Part 5

Never a dull moment when you own a pool, and not because of the wild sex parties (if you have them) but because of the expense, breakdowns, and recurring irritants. Comes a new one: congregating bees.

A (so far) small swarm of them are clustering on the tile surround, just above the water line which makes using the pool worrisome, as you have to stay away from that part and the bees hovering around it.

Seems they are gathering water to cool the hive. Which is not surprising since it was 103 F today and has been in the triple digits for more than a week now. Apparently the nectar gathering which nature programs bees for has been interrupted by the dry, hot spring leading to fewer flowers than usual.

Mrs. Charm is experimenting with the advice here of creating a separate water source for the bees and gradually moving it farther and farther from the pool. If that doesn’t work, we’ll skip green and go for the insecticide with a bug bomb. But that might only force them to move to another part and gradually drive us from the pool as well.