Tag Archives: forecast models

Ana and Bill

Where to, oh storms? To Texas, hence, to shed a little rain upon our cracking, dusty drouth? As the Seablogger notes, none can say:

"We cannot model and hope for more than partial accuracy ten days out, yet politicians profess to be panicked about models of the climate a century hence. Some of them are simply grabbing for money and regulatory power. Many others believe — like the idiot Senator from Michigan, Debbie Stabenow, who thinks she can feel global warming when she flies."

So, unlike the idiot senator and her other credulous colleagues, we’ll just have to wait and see.

Felix less of a threat to Texas

Felix2.JPG

 Subsequent model runs show threat to Texas diminishing. Whew.

Via Seablogger 

Hurricane Felix Texas bound?

As it stands now, according to meteorologist Jeff Masters, Felix could grow to a dangerous Cat 2 or 3 by Monday night when, on its present course, it approaches the border between Honduras and Nicaragua. But the forecast models are split over its direction, with some taking it farther north into the northwestern Caribbean where, on Tuesday or Wednesday, a low pressure trough could lift it up into the Gulf of Mexico, just clipping the northeast corner of the Yucatan. If that happens, the Texas coast could be in for a beating. Wait and see.