Tag Archives: Stratfor

Principles vs ideology

Democrat and Republican party bosses used to pick the candidates for the White House and Congress who, George Friedman says, governed on principles. Then the reforms of the 1970s happened, Jimmy Carter was the first “beneficary” and ideology has carried the day ever since.

“There is a vast difference between principle and ideology. Principles are core values that do not dictate every action on every subject, but guide you in some way. Ideology as an explanation of how the world works is comprehensive and compelling. Most presidents find that governing requires principles, but won’t allow ideology. But it is the senators and particularly the congressmen — who run in districts where perhaps 20 percent of eligible voters vote in primaries, most of them ideologues — who are forced away from principle and toward ideology.”

That’s a interesting take by the boss of Stratfor, Austin’s open intelligence agency. It only leaves out the obvious truth that President Obutthead is a Socialist ideologue who “governs” as one.

Thus the federal slimdown or semi-shutdown or whatever you choose to call it when the feds close national parks and veteran monuments but keep most federal agencies and their Democrat house organ NPR running full-tilt—instead of negotiating with the budget-setting conservative House for a reduction in entitlement spending.

Can you say Mexican standoff? Sure you can.

Egypt, Israel and a Strategic Reconsideration

Stratfor’s George Friedman says in an interesting analysis that whatever the apparent democratic tenor of the ongoing Egyptian uprising, it is being fueled by the Egyptian military’s young officer class which wants Mubarak and his aging officer cronies retired.

So far, GF adds, the Middle Eastern trend to Islamism isn’t dominant in Cairo, but if the Israelis don’t find a way to make peace with the Palestinians, that could well change. There is some heart to be taken in the fact that Egypt’s military (like Israel’s) now depends on American resupply, which will help control the war-making of both. But, then, Israel only has to lose once to be annihilated.

The Russia bombing

The scariest thing about the exploding visitor at the Russian airport today is that his/her TNT blast went off in a so-called soft target area, i.e. the public area, where no ticket or boarding pass is required and friends and family are awaiting an arrival. Stratfor’s Ben West sums it up here. Takes a minute to load.

Alternate history: Watergate

The story of courageous newspaper journalists and their editor bringing down a nefarious president? As we have been told, and told, and told for a generation. Or that of a disgruntled deputy FBI director who used the journalists and their editor to bring down a president the director believed was too close to reigning reining in his theretofore nefarious agency? Stratfor reports, you decide.

MORE: Cynical manipulation of the press and the public, told by an old master journalist.

Via No Left Turns.

Civil wars in Mexico

Well, not quite, but almost. Couple of good notices lately, one at the Small Wars Journal and one from Stratfor, of the increasing drug wars going on in Mexico, corrupting their government and spilling over our southern border. If the Mexican government becomes thoroughly, instead of merely traditionally, corrupt, then what do we do? It seems we may have to put troops on the border not just to halt illegal immigration but to keep the Mexican drug wars from invading us as well. I still say, as I have all along, that the only solution is the only one that won’t be tried: full legalization as was done with alcohol with similar restrictions, but prices kept artificially low. Then concentrate on treatment, education and enforcement of DUI laws.

Blockading Iran

I have liked the idea of a naval blockade of Iran to stop their development of nuclear weapons. But George Friedman of Austin’s Stratfor says even the idea of imposing one for the limited purpose of forcing release of the Birt hostages was not seriously considered because of Iran’s ability to retaliate in Iraq, among other places. Although one supposes stopping the nukes would be considerably more incentive than a few military prisoners.

Via the ON Point Blog