Tag Archives: Weather Bell Analytics

Cool June’s portents

It’s been a cool June so far, with just a week to run. Normally we’d have been in the upper 90s day-after-day by now and, at least judging from the past few years, had a 100-degree day or two. Not this year. Nada.

All of which could have been anticipated by anyone (like me) relying on WeatherBell Analytics and especially my fav Pennsylvania forecaster Joe Bastardi (formerly of Texas A&M) who called all this way back in April.

Relatively cool and relatively wet summer, JB said, and he’s been right so far.

He and his partner Joe D’Aleo also forecast last winter’s extreme cold and they were outliers against the federal forecast of a warmer winter than usual. Of course the feds are locked into their political global-warming hogwash and always see the future through those fractured glasses. How do they walk and chew gum at the same time, I wonder?

Winters are turning colder

We’ve had four severe winters in the past decade in North America and this one is shaping up as a repeat performance. Not that you’d know that from paying attention to the Non-Fox news media or reading the dictator’s club’s annual crock on global warming.

But the good Joe D’Aleo at Weather Bell Analytics has a interesting take on those winters that began in 2002/03: “Most of the media seem to be obsessed with extremes of heat, completely ignoring cold weather extremes, despite these apparently being on the rise and despite the IPCC’s science failing to offer an explanation for them. In fact, the IPCC extreme weather events table projects ‘fewer cold days and frost in future’.”

I remember 2002/03 because we lived in a drafty old shiplap house on a ridgeline in Travis Heights where the windows rattled when the wind blew. And it blew hard that winter. This year, our tenth in the stone-and-siding rancho in a small valley in Northwest Hills, is starting out to be just as frigid and windy. Unusually cold for this time of year, but it was last year and the year before also.

Purely anecdotally, our Central Tejas winters do seem to be getting colder. Used to be November and December were mild with only the occasional cold front passage of a few days. January was our only killer cold month and February was the warmup. I’m getting nostalgic just writing that.

Let’s all hope the future is nothing like Larry Niven’s Fallen Angels. We don’t need a glacier whose leading edge is 400-feet high and moving, well, glacially, through what was once called Missouri.

Gusty wind could promote ice

Weather Bell Analytic meteorologist Joe Bastardi says our wind of 16 gusting to 22 mph could make us more prone to an ice storm. If it continues as the temp drops to 24 tonight.

“Deep in the Heart of Texas, the hideous specter of the ice storm is rearing its ugly head. Since the wind is blowing while precip is falling, the heating of the air that occurs through the freezing process of water is negated by evaporation due to wind…The heart of Texas will be cold and unforgiving in this pattern the next 3-5 days.”

Hasn’t happened yet. But if it does, we may be off the air, since ice buildup tends to bring down power lines, or over-weight and bring down adjacent trees which fall on the lines.