Category Archives: Weather/Climate

Meow

Well, not quite "meow." Hurricane Gustav still ain’t exactly a pussycat. But he’s weakened sufficiently to where he also isn’t Katrina II. So, as Mr. B. would say, let’s turn the volume from 4 to 2 on this one. I had a gut feeling this would happen. Nice to see the Pajamas’ weather geek also can downshift in a timely fashion.

UPDATE: More weather from Jeff Masters. Weaker means less damage. But it’s still strong, and liveblogging from Biloxi, MS, shows how much.

Dems come unglued

They’re desperate, I tell you. Absolutely desperate over Baby Barry and Old Joe having to face the combination of Mac and Sarah. Faux filmmaker and famous fatso Michael Moore is even celebrating Gustav. He doesn’t care how many the storm kills so long as it disrupts the Repub convention. Old news actually, considering all the lies he’s told in his "documentaries."

Via Instapundit.

UPDATE:  A quick lesson in how an anti-Palin site was set up by one of Baby Barry’s supporters. And, inevitably, she’s being dissed for being a smalltown beauty queen. But by another woman?

MORE: MSM: Mac, "the underdog," is taking a big risk with Sarah. Yeah, $7 million worth in 24 hours!

Gustav-ing

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Where, oh, where will this little sheep Gustav go? And how loud will be its baaa by the time it gets there, Sunday or Monday? Possibly a Cat 3 or 4 say the LCRA’s Bob Rose (no permalink) and Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi (subscription only), and anywhere from the Florida panhandle to the upper Texas coast. As you can see from this graphic by the Interior Department’s Mineral Management Services (via meteorologist Jeff Masters’ Wunderblog) that big a sheep is likely to cause some spikes in your gas prices for a week or so, depending… 

Word is the crews are already leaving the platforms. In New Orleans, meanwhile, where the pols apparently have made few improvements to the levee since the last devastating hurricane, they’re talking about evacuating the city. Also cranking up their "It’s all Bush’s fault" arguments, I’m sure. But the meteorologists ain’t sure ole Gustav, which has already killed twenty-two people in the Carribean, is actually going there. Fortunately, the meteors seem to agree that the two following storms, and possibly a third one (this is the height of the hurricane season) won’t be getting into the Gulf. They’ll be the East Coast’s worry.

UPDATE: Via Instapundit: more on the possibilities. But they remain just that.

UPDATE Aug. 31: I’m not going to start a new post on Gustav until it goes ashore. It was weakened by crossing Cuba. Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi thinks it will stay weakened, and possibly change course to hit the Florida panhandle, partly because of a theory he has that Fay’s "wake" left cooler water and drier air behind her. The Seablogger disagrees. Jeff Masters says we’ll see strengthening tonight with landfall near New Orleans Monday morning. I just think this thing’s being hyped by the old media, for political as well as meteorology reasons. Wait and see.

Hurricane Gustav

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With forecasters already talking about a Category 4 or 5 for this thing, it’s not pleasant to see the direction it’s pointed. Fortunately, a lot of things can change between now and whenever, wherever it arrives.

UPDATE: By Wednesday, the 27th, while Gustav is battering Haiti, there’s enough windshear in the northwest Gulf, from the subtropical jet, to weaken Gustav considerably should it come our way.

Off to the beach

Looks like Fay will not be joining us at Port Aransas, although some big waves from her intensity as she sweeps through Florida just might. It happened with Ivan in 2006. In any case we’re outta here until Thursday. Off to see the likes of Ruby Begonia, the Presidio La Bahia, and other familiar but still amazing attractions, along the trail to Port A, which is on Mustang Island in the Gulf of Mexico. Adios.

UPDATE: Returned sunburned but happy on the 21st. Drove down in the rain, and it rained off and on for a few days. But there were some afternoons when the sun came out, so the gang had a good one. Mr. B. even got to try boogie boarding, similar to surf boarding, which he pronounced strenuous but fun.

Rain, do come again, but not Fay, please

It’s been cloudy all day. The drought-breaking rain we’ve been promised has yet to appear, thougn the temperature is a relatively-cool 89F at this hour. LCRA meteorologist Bob Rose says we’re scheduled for a good chance of light-to-heavy rain through the end of next week, and he adds that there is "much uncertainty" in the ultimate path of Tropical Storm Fay. She’s now predicted to turn north and strike the west coast of Florida, but just might decide to head west, instead. That would be a bummer as we are leaving the rancho on Monday for our annual jaunt to the beach at Port Aransas before Mr. B.’s school resumes on Aug. 25. Even her hitting Florida might raise some big waves that sweep across the Gulf of Mexico and pound the beach where we’re going. It’s happened before.

Hello, rain

Got a brief shower at the rancho this morning, with the weather service saying there’s a fifty percent chance of more to come. More than two inches fell at Harper, northwest of Fredericksburg in the hills out west. Doubt we’d get that much. The LCRA’s Bob Rose says the cause is a couple of unusual cold fronts sliding south into Texas after a shift in the Jet Stream moved the dome of high pressure that’s made recent weeks so hot south to where’s now over northern Mexico.

Bob says this is on track to be the hottest summer on record, 87.2 degrees average temp vs. the previous hottest of 87.1 in 1998. But the city records he’s talking about only go back to the 1840s, so that’s nothing to get very excited about, all you global warmists. Rain chances are expected to end later today but a "cooling" trend, at least dropping temps into the nineties, could last a week to ten days. That would be nice.