Category Archives: Weather/Climate

Return to dry

March ended with almost three times the amount of rain Austin normally gets. Indeed, with almost 14 inches recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport since Jan. 1, we’ve already received almost half the rain we normally get in a year. But KVUE’s chief meteorologist Mark Murray expects it all to end as the La Nina weathermaker strengthens, making April a transition month back to dry. So it looks at the weather service’s Climate Prediction Center here from now through June.

It’s floodin’ down in Texas

Not a good day to be a boat or floating-restaurant owner on the Brazos River, nor to live near any roaring creeks or impromptu lakes around Waco.

"Pouring rain and heavy winds are beating down on Tony Cain as he treads, fully-clothed, through the active Brazos River desperately trying to save his floating restaurant and banquet hall, the Brazos Belle."

Good work in this report from Waco Tribune Herald, with good video clips, though I have never been able to understand the appeal of present tense to young writers–incuding myself when I did it long ago. 

Austin has minor urban steet flooding, and the radar west and south of us is almost empty for the moment, but the worst appears yet to come. Dripping Springs has had almost 4 inches and Burnet County to the west has many flooded roads, Bob Rose says (not a permalink here, so I’ll fix later). And the flood watch continues until tomorrow morning. Email alert from Troy Kimmel that weather service expects the tornado threat to grow in the next few hours, some to us but particularly to our north where a small but hardy surface low is forming southwest of Fort Worth. One good thing, Lake Travis she will rise again.

UPDATE  The rains pretty much quit over the rancho before dark, and no tornadoes appeared anywhere nearby. And, by Saturday afternoon, Lake Travis had risen another five feet–at 665.3 she’s almost back to normal for this time of year.  

Friday’s rain…

…sounds almost as serious as the storms earlier in the week, according to the LCRA’s Bob Rose:

"The area of heavy rain and strong storms will slowly shift southeast to the coastal plains region Friday night. Rain amounts on Friday look to average between 1 and 2 inches, with isolated totals to near 3 inches possible. Flash flooding will be a definite concern!"

KVUE’s Mark Murray agreed that Friday "is where we could see some trouble"

UPDATE KVET/KASE meteorologist Troy Kimmel says at 8 a.m. Friday that National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch until 7 a.m. Saturday and says we could get "an average of 2 inches of rain between this morning and 7 am Saturday..[and] isolated heavier rainfall totals to above 4 inches are possible."

Spring rain at the rancho

Nice shower in progress, aiding the grass already greening from the previous heavy rain. The catkins littering the patio, sidewalk, and pool deck, however, will get soaked and leach brown stain everywhere. Also may knock some of the petals off the heavily-blooming pink Old Blush. Always a downside. The blooms wouldn’t be in such profusion without the rain, but the rain hinders the blooms. Oxalis, or Wood Sorrel, a cool weather perennial, is nicely rioting in dark pink. And the misnamed Pink Evening Primrose (it blooms all day) is abundant under the Zephirine Drouhin which is well budded but not quite ready to bloom. So we’re pretty in pink and green, and awaiting the white and red roses to come.

Adios drought

With more rain moving in to the Austin area tomorrow through Saturday morning, some folks are saying the Central Texas drought which began in October, 2005, is almost over. And the LCRA’s Bob Rose says our outlook is for near-normal rain for spring and at or above normal for the summer. Meanwhile, we’re already 7 inches above average for 2007. Lake Travis, meanwhile, is still rising.

Rising lake

Thanks to storm runoff and the Llano and Pedernales rivers:

 "With the recent rains, LCRA hydrologists are forecasting Lake Travis to rise to an elevation of about 662 to 664 feet above mean sea level (msl) by this weekend. That is about 8.5 to 10.5 feet above where the lake’s level was when rain began falling late Sunday. At 10:30 a.m. Tuesday, Lake Travis had already risen by more than 4 feet to an elevation of 657.82 feet msl, which is still more than 13 feet below its average elevation for March. The last time Lake Travis was this high was in June 2006."

Now we’re into the range where we need to be for LT’s recovery, except June 2006 was mighty low. Still need another 10 to 20 feet to get back to near-normal. 

Denting the drought

As the big storms move into the Austin area, meteorologists are already talking about them denting the drought, maybe even bringing a big boost to the Highland Lakes, particularly Lake Travis which rose about 7 feet after the previous big storms, about two weeks ago. Some parts of the hills around Fredericksburg have already had well over 3 inches of rain, and it’s all headed our way. Flash flooding, for sure, of creeks and streams, with the watch for that extending to midnight. No sign yet of the Guadalupe or San Marcos rivers rising, however.

UPDATE  Minor lowland flooding at 10 p.m., with Lake Travis expected to rise 2 to 3 feet (not enough, unfortunately), rain ending after midnight. Sunny 85 Tuesday with rain again Thursday and Friday.