Tag Archives: polls

Dems still split over Barry

The polls, can you trust them? For instance, they say Virginia is tilting to Barry. But my friend, a former Democrat county chairman in the western part of the state, says he and some of his Democrat friends will be quietly voting for Mac and Sarah.

He’s retired military and, while he doesn’t like it that Barry never served, he mainly feels that he can’t turn his back on Mac, a fellow Vietnam veteran. His friends mainly dislike the fact that Barry has no experience to speak of. Racism may be playing some part in their calculations, given Barry’s racist church of twenty years and his penchant for playing the race card, but they’re not talking about that. Others, it seems, are exercised about Barry’s legitimacy as a nominee.

The bogus polls

Hard as it may be to do, these last few weeks of the presidential election are the time to ignore the polls. Many of them will be phony from here on out, as the polling companies weight their results on the Dem side to satisfy their clients, usually partisan-Dem Big Media.

If mystery-man Barry somehow proves more compelling than "reporting-for-duty" Kerry did in 2004, and the turnout on election day is wholly different (packed, for instance, with bright-eyed Dem youth), then the polls might be meaningful. Otherwise, there’ll be a repeat of 2004, when the polls showed right up until election day that Kerry was going to take it. Then he lost by three million votes. There’s already some indication that Barry could lose by a lot more.

Iraq support rises

Barry’s crowd has some retrenching to do. They’ve long been throwing around the sixty-percent-oppose-the-Iraq-campaign poll figure as a justification for their cut-and-run views. But some recent polling shows a sharp rise to fifty-three percent saying the U.S. will succeed in reaching its goals in Iraq. Even CBS admits this could "alter the dynamics of races up and down the ballot." I’ve never been a fan of polling, which is hampered as never before by changes in the way Americans use their phones. The polls were predicting Kerry would beat Bush right up until election day 2004. But if you live by the polls, Dems, you gotta die by them, too.

The ‘increasingly popular war.’

Army recruiting is up, well up, better than any year since 1997, which some would find a surprise, though I do not. I am surprised that the polls are starting to register an increasing willingness to ride the Iraq campaign out for what it’s worth.

"It will be interesting to watch the news stories now. Remember all those articles with the words ‘increasingly unpopular war’? Will we see reports now with the words ‘increasingly popular war’?"

I wouldn’t bet on it.

Via Instapundit