Tag Archives: LCRA

Adios drought

With more rain moving in to the Austin area tomorrow through Saturday morning, some folks are saying the Central Texas drought which began in October, 2005, is almost over. And the LCRA’s Bob Rose says our outlook is for near-normal rain for spring and at or above normal for the summer. Meanwhile, we’re already 7 inches above average for 2007. Lake Travis, meanwhile, is still rising.

Rising lake

Thanks to storm runoff and the Llano and Pedernales rivers:

 "With the recent rains, LCRA hydrologists are forecasting Lake Travis to rise to an elevation of about 662 to 664 feet above mean sea level (msl) by this weekend. That is about 8.5 to 10.5 feet above where the lake’s level was when rain began falling late Sunday. At 10:30 a.m. Tuesday, Lake Travis had already risen by more than 4 feet to an elevation of 657.82 feet msl, which is still more than 13 feet below its average elevation for March. The last time Lake Travis was this high was in June 2006."

Now we’re into the range where we need to be for LT’s recovery, except June 2006 was mighty low. Still need another 10 to 20 feet to get back to near-normal. 

Rain chances diminishing

LCRA’s chief meteorologist Bob Rose says another mini- drought-breaker like we had about nine days ago isn’t in the cards, just more humidity and a light rain later this week followed by a bit more this weekend thanks to a Pacific cold front combined with a low pressure trough out of New Mexico:

"Rain amounts Saturday through Sunday will be a little heavier, generally in the range of 0.5 to 1 inch, with isolated heavier totals.  As of now, however, I’m not seeing the development of a heavy rain event.   High temperatures both days will be in the middle 70s"

At least we’re going to get nice spring weather the next couple of weeks, highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s. And with the perennials greening up and the antique roses budding out, it should be even nicer.

And no relief in sight

"We hit a high of 103 degrees at [Austin’s] Camp Mabry [this] afternoon! This marks the seventh day in a row of a high temperature over 100 degrees in Austin. It also marks the 20th 100 degree day this summer."

No relief? Well, the National Weather Service is predicting some but LCRA’s Bob Rose doubts it.

"I find it very interesting that the latest 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooks from National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center call for below normal temperatures and above normal rainfall across a large part of Texas for the latter half of August. None of the forecast modeling I see supports this bold prediction. I’ll be curious to see if this forecast continues the next couple of days."

Dog days

The triple-digit days are upon us here in Central Texas and can be expected to remain a while, though hopefully not all the way through Labor Day as they have in the past.

But meteorologist Bob Rose of the Lower Colorado River Authority isn’t encouraging:

"…this is Texas weather in mid July and weather conditions are typically consistently hot and dry. Long-range forecasts show little change over the next week or so. Even the tropical Atlantic remains quiet, with little organized activity to speak of. Hot and mostly dry weather will continue in the near term with no significant changes expected any time soon."

Bob’s full take here

UPDATE Officially it was only 98 today, but there were a few backyard thermometers topping 100. National Weather Service forecasting 100s the rest of the weekend and into next week. A heat index tomorrow as high as 106.