Category Archives: Weather/Climate

The Road

This is surprisingly non-violent for a Cormac McCarthy apocalyptic opus. The violence is there, of course. It is the man’s literary mainstay, after all. But it’s suggested, implied, seen from a distance except on one or two occasions that more or less frame the story. The tale itself is harrowing, yet touching, even, to a degree, inspiring.

I’d told Scott of The Fat Guy, who is a McCarthy fan, that I was going to skip this one. Then, between books, I let myself be sucked in by the semi-lurid movie cover at the local H.E.B. Now I’m glad I read it. It is a good book, but it raises several objections worth considering.

It seems to be about the theory of nuclear winter and its consequences. Taken to the nth degree, which is not entirely convincing. Its corollary, that many survivors of a nuclear holocaust would prey on each other, turning cannibalistic, in fact, is a common Hollywood and literary motif. Think Stephen King. Our mainstream film and fiction makers are a cynical lot who apparently have little sense of religion or community themselves and so tend to see the worst in others. McCarthy, being above all a good salesman, knows how to milk this attitude. The book won the Pullet-Surprise.

And yet the book is life-affirming, throughout and at the end. I can think of ways I would prefer to see life affirmed than by such silly (if commonplace) prods as, on page 28, "The frailty of everything [was] revealed at last." The frailty of little Los Angeles and New York minds, rather. Not the people who actually produce the world that only seems, to these cultural leeches,to be frail.

The story is remarkable for its complete lack of racialism. A white reader can assume the characters are white, a black reader that they are black, an Asian reader, etc. There is nothing to contradict either view. The movie, I have read, is otherwise. Has to be, obviously. Which would alter the tale. All in all, a good if flawed (for the aforementioned reasons) story. But I wouldn’t recommend it.

Southwestern Virginia snow

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My sister’s driveway in the Roanoke Valley usually is steep. Not now. The curve of the snow before the garage door on the left tells the almost two foot depth. As does the basketball hoop’s pole.

Snow storm

Relatives in the Roanoke Valley of Virginia still have power, fortunately, so we’ve been exchanging email. Also managed to watch one of their television stations, WDBJ-7, on the Web. Their chief meteorologist lives in nearby Fincastle, another town we have an attachment to, and he showed pictures of that little place buried under more than a foot of snow.

Less luck in finding any news on Quicksburg in the Shenandoah Valley where friends live, but they seldom do email and we haven’t tried a landline call yet. Fortunately, the storm is pretty much following Accuweather’s Friday forecast and gradually moving off to the northeast to batter the major cities of the East Coast.

The Copenhagen schuck

I’ve done enough on AGW lately that I’m bored with it. But Roger L. Simon’s work at Pajamas Media on the silliness inherent in the Copenhagen climate summit is too good to ignore:

"The whole place is crawling with journalists like rodents in a pirate ship. One estimate I heard was thirty thousand. They line up for hours for to get into events only to find their accreditation is lost. This may be Scandinavia, but it is wildly disorganized."

Heh. In other words your basic hippie demo ("The whole world is watching!") only with snow and ice.

More climategate nature tricks

Want to make it seem as if carbon-dioxide-aggravated warming is on the increase? Then massage the results by ignoring almost half of the available sample:

"They ignored data covering 40% of Russia and chose data that showed a warming trend over statistically preferable alternatives when available. They ignored completeness of data, preferred urban data, strongly preferred data from stations that relocated, ignored length of data set.

"On the final page, there is a chart that shows that CRU’s selective use of 25% of the data created 0.64C more warming than simply using all of the raw data would have done. The complete set of data show 1.4C rise since 1860, the CRU set shows 2.06C rise over the same period."

Good roundup of this latest drop-of-the-other-climate-shoe here, thanks to Russia’s Institute of Economic Analysis.

AGW critic recovering

Turns out that scientist at the Copenhagen meeting who suffered a heart attack was Henrik Svensmark, author of a plausible book and much research behind it as to what (besides carbon dioxide), might be causing the global warming that may or may not actually be occurring.

Svensmark seems to be recovering from what seems to have been a malfunctioning pacemaker, according to this hard-to-read Google translation of a Danish newspaper account, posted by Anthony Watts. Svensmark believes that a lack of cosmic rays to provide the seed nuclei for the formation of clouds to keep the temperature low is behind whatever warming there is. Sol’s recent sleep apparently has upped the cosmic ray count, which Svensmark might say is bringing the recent early winters.

“The Warmest October in Human History”

That’s this year, according to NASA’s shrill sign-waving climate "scientist" James Hansen, and it was the opening line of the Copenhagen climate conference. As if the gang that couldn’t keep from destroying two space shuttles, killing everyone aboard including a school teacher they recruited for the privilege, could possibly know what happened to the October temperature in All. Of. Human. History.

Is that unfair? Maybe. But their "warmest October in human history" prompts it because the claim is so obviously stupid. Better to say, to paraphrase Accuweather meteorologist Joe Bastardi: [It’s] "the warmest you ever measured with the way you measured it." Which is a lot more accurate, but not sufficiently alarming, apparently. Not enough to keep the grant money flowing to sustain the bureaucracy they created getting to the moon. For what? To come home and trash the enabling technology and never go again.

SciFi writer Jerry Pournelle, likewise, is skeptical: "…few of us would have thought that last October was all that warm. Didn’t seem that warm to me, and my impression from the radio and TV was that it was actually pretty cold." Moreover, others were finding a flaw in the data. It was cool enough in Texas, in a precursor to our latest early winter–now into the start of its third week of overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. Which is unusually cold for us this time of year. The "sleeping" sun seems a lot more potentially devastating to me than any supposed rise in sea level fifty years from now, according to, ahem, the famous crockumentarian Al Gore.

Bastardi again: "Go look back through all the data, and understand that you can’t measure at the time of Rome, or the Vikings, or the Great Depression, the way you measure things now… Al Gore, who doesn’t have the guts to debate anyone on this issue, a man who may soon be a carbon billionaire, is claiming people who are fighting him are in the pockets of polluters. You do the math."