Tag Archives: Accuweather

Rain expected

It’s not on the local or national forecasts yet, but Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi is predicting moisture coming into Texas this week from Jimena, the major hurricane (sustained winds of 145 mph!) the NHC is predicting to whack Baja California tomorrow night:

"The low level center may never fully come up, and peel away, but abundant mid and upper level moisture should come a calling."

Thanks, Joe, we’ll take it! This sort of thing has happened before, but it’s been a while.

UPDATE: By late Monday, Joe is still sticking to his forecast for us, but it’s not explained. Meanwhile, Accuweather’s Frank Strait sort of disagrees, saying we have only a slight chance of some storms by Friday. Deep South Texas he notes is already getting storms from Jimena, but, as for us in Central Texas, we’ll just have to wait and see.

The folly with Dolly

The New Braunfels office of the weather service is forecasting potentially heavy rains south of the rancho from Dolly’s inland track, starting Wednesday night into Thursday, although no one is sure what the track will be, specifically how far north of the mouth of the Rio Grande. All depends on the track and how big the storm is, certainly probably a hurricane when it goes ashore, but how fast will it fall apart after that? Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi (subsrcibers only) is ranting (as usual) at the hurricane center for allegedly missing Dolly’s actual location this morning, which could bring it ashore well north of Laguna Madre, in which case we could likely get a lot more rain.

UPDATE:  The Seablogger, presumably still enjoying his northeastern cruise, nevertheless has taken time out to predict a possibly severe Dolly striking as far north as Galveston! Pajamas has a nice roundup of views.

Fry Pan Olympics

We’ve had four five 100-degree days (and a slew of ninety-nines) already this year, according to the National Weather Service, and June has hardly begun. Usually we don’t see more than a fluke one of them before early July. Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi is calling this weather our Fry Pan Olympics. Sure feels like it.

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow

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What that freak Hawaii blizzard looked like on weather radar. Accuweather’s Jesse Ferrell says it’s happened before.

Remember Allison?

Accuweather meteorologist Joe Bastardi isn’t predicting another weather bomb like Tropical Storm Allison–which dropped thirty-plus inches of rain on Houston in June of 2001–he just thinks this thing dubbed 90L that’s turning lazily off the northwestern Texas coast could become nasty by Tursday and might even head northeast to Louisiana: "Moral is people on the Texas and Louisiana gulf coasts should be keeping a wary eye open for this, if they have not been already."

UPDATE: KVET meteorologist Troy Kimmel alerts us to the Miami Hurricane Center’s dispatch of Air Force recon into 90L, which is "becoming better organized" and could be a tropical depression later today.

Off to Port A

Leaving tomorrow on our annual trek to the beach at Port Aransas, so no posts until we return on Friday. Only glitch might be the storm brewing in the western Caribbean, which  Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi, among other meteorologists, forsees sweeping into the Gulf of Mexico later in the week, possibly as a tropical storm. Maybe Dean unless an Atlantic one gets the name first. But he sees the chances of landfall as better for Mexico than the Texas coast. More tropical storm/hurricane argument here on what has been a quiet season so far. We will keep our fingers crossed that Bastardi’s right. Not like in 2004 when Ivan, crashing into western Florida and Alabama, sent huge waves across the Gulf to hit and close the beaches at Port A. I remember one almost washed away a family from West Texas who had incautiously spread out their blanket on the sand. They were awash in an instant and struggled up a dune with what remained of their stuff to escape the water.

UPDATE  It looks like the name Dean may go to another storm, first, making the Gulf one (if there is a Gulf one) Erin. Unless Dean goes into the Gulf first. Which might not occur before we are back in Central Texas, which would be good. We shall see.

Floodin down in Texas?

Accuweather’s Joe Bastardi, who grew up in College Station, is wondering if floods are to come:

"The wet spring has turned into a wet summer for the Lone Star State and now that we are almost through with June and this area is still wet, there has to be concern that the level of tropical influence needed does not have to be very high to cause problems.

"I believe we are going to descend rapidly into a moderate La Nina and the last time that happened, the hurricane season of 1998 had 7 landfalls, 3 hurricanes. The European [forecast model] August/September/October precip forecast has an almost mirror image in the gulf of the ASO 1998 rainfall. If one looks at that season, one sees that there were two tropical cyclones that hit Texas, neither hurricanes, but 2 storms full of water now, moving slowly into the state[.] [W]ithout a break from the wet pattern here for more than a couple of weeks[, that] could really mean trouble."

It looks tricky enough for the next week, all of which is forecast to rain, and rain, and rain.